This conflict’s public story is deterrence; its private story is miscalculation

This conflict’s public story is deterrence; its private story is miscalculation

Mar 18, 2026 · 5 min read

Americans will pay for this war first at the pump, then in tariffs

Americans will pay for this war first at the pump, then in tariffs

· 5 min read

Hormuz is the leverage test, not the endgame of this war

Hormuz is the leverage test, not the endgame of this war

· 5 min read

Iran-Israel escalation is now a succession plan in uniform

Iran-Israel escalation is now a succession plan in uniform

· 5 min read

Trump’s Hormuz ask exposes the gap between US power and allied trust

· 11 min read

Israel’s Shadow War With Iran Is Now a Test of U.S. Deterrence

Israel’s Shadow War With Iran Is Now a Test of U.S. Deterrence

Mar 17, 2026 · 9 min read

Europe Quietly Turns Its Back on Trump Over Iran

Europe Quietly Turns Its Back on Trump Over Iran

· 8 min read

Alabama Snow Possible: What We Know and What to Watch

Alabama Snow Possible: What We Know and What to Watch

· 5 min read

Israel’s Iran strikes quietly test how far Trump will gamble on Hormuz

Israel’s Iran strikes quietly test how far Trump will gamble on Hormuz

· 7 min read

Bond Markets Are Quietly Signaling They Don’t Believe the Fed’s Soft-Landing Story

Bond Markets Are Quietly Signaling They Don’t Believe the Fed’s Soft-Landing Story

· 5 min read

Iran is quietly testing how much pain the world will tolerate at Hormuz

Iran is quietly testing how much pain the world will tolerate at Hormuz

· 6 min read

Trump’s threats over Iranian oil routes signal a larger election-year energy gamble

Trump’s threats over Iranian oil routes signal a larger election-year energy gamble

Mar 16, 2026 · 9 min read

U.S. voters will feel the Hormuz crisis at the pump long before the battlefield

U.S. voters will feel the Hormuz crisis at the pump long before the battlefield

· 5 min read

Team USA’s Route to the Gold Medal Game Says More About the Field Than the Score

· 6 min read

Why Iran Chose This Moment to Escalate the Strait of Hormuz Crisis

· 6 min read

The Last Time Oil Hit $100 During a Middle East Crisis, Recession Followed Within Months

· 5 min read

Gas Prices Over $100 Per Barrel Will Force Fed to Choose Between Inflation Control and Economic Growth

· 4 min read

Severe Weather Sunday and Monday: What We Know So Far

· 4 min read

Strait of Hormuz Blockade Hands China Leverage Over Global Oil Markets

Strait of Hormuz Blockade Hands China Leverage Over Global Oil Markets

· 6 min read

We’ve Been Here Before: What Past Hormuz Crises Say About Today’s Oil Shock

We’ve Been Here Before: What Past Hormuz Crises Say About Today’s Oil Shock

· 5 min read